Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.019434 0.022610 0.026117 0.030270 0.035052 0.040383 0.046772
2025-12-07 0.014667 0.018764 0.023703 0.030082 0.038088 0.047789 0.060423
2025-12-14 0.011128 0.015468 0.021118 0.028981 0.039608 0.053435 0.072755
2025-12-21 0.008911 0.013330 0.019485 0.028630 0.041814 0.060058 0.087141
2025-12-28 0.007807 0.012461 0.019339 0.030162 0.046664 0.070752 0.108425
2026-01-04 0.006777 0.011477 0.018811 0.030967 0.050463 0.080322 0.129254
2026-01-11 0.005623 0.010071 0.017373 0.030081 0.051449 0.085664 0.144212
2026-01-18 0.004812 0.009076 0.016414 0.029770 0.053221 0.092327 0.161930
2026-01-25 0.004077 0.008078 0.015278 0.028950 0.053955 0.097275 0.177271
2026-02-01 0.003509 0.007285 0.014371 0.028375 0.054983 0.102751 0.194035
2026-02-08 0.003074 0.006669 0.013691 0.028098 0.056471 0.109131 0.213036
2026-02-15 0.002658 0.006018 0.012841 0.027358 0.056953 0.113669 0.229064
2026-02-22 0.002483 0.005856 0.012957 0.028590 0.061509 0.126511 0.262596
2026-03-01 0.002217 0.005449 0.012507 0.028589 0.063576 0.134764 0.288128
2026-03-08 0.001912 0.004898 0.011666 0.027628 0.063503 0.138716 0.305428
2026-03-15 0.001699 0.004526 0.011163 0.027337 0.064825 0.145659 0.329685
2026-03-22 0.001626 0.004489 0.011424 0.028827 0.070282 0.161941 0.375627
2026-03-29 0.001516 0.004337 0.011389 0.029610 0.074216 0.175331 0.416681
2026-04-05 0.001331 0.003952 0.010724 0.028767 0.074216 0.179946 0.438570
2026-04-12 0.001196 0.003680 0.010304 0.028472 0.075492 0.187593 0.468218
2026-04-19 0.001055 0.003366 0.009727 0.027688 0.075446 0.192129 0.491025
2026-04-26 0.000941 0.003109 0.009264 0.027138 0.075920 0.197942 0.517507
2026-05-03 0.000851 0.002909 0.008924 0.026873 0.077098 0.205593 0.549285